Bitcoin (BTC) is experiencing a calm period, with the price falling below $100,000, triggering a major liquidation event that wiped out over $2 billion in the market. The crypto community was hopeful ahead of David Sacks’ digital asset press conference on Feb. 4, but Sacks, a key figure in the Trump administration’s crypto initiative, delivered a measured address regarding a potential Bitcoin Strategic Reserve. Sacks revealed that the current directive from the U.S. president is to evaluate the feasibility of establishing such a reserve. This caused the odds of a U.S. national Bitcoin reserve in 2025 to drop to 47% on PolyMarket.
49,700 Bitcoin “Spent” May Create Selling Pressure
Bitcoin analyst XBTManager highlighted that in the past 24 hours, a total of 49,700 BTC from the 6-12 month spent output age band (SOAB) had been moved. The SOAB tracks the time since dormant coins were last moved. According to the analyst, this large movement of Bitcoin could trigger market volatility and exert downward pressure on the price. Historically, similar market movements have been linked to whale activity, which sometimes leads to market manipulation. This type of activity often causes retail-driven sell-offs, giving larger investors an opportunity to re-enter the market at better prices.
Alphractal, an investment analysis platform, also noted that Bitcoin sentiment is moving into bearish territory. However, the platform emphasized that negative sentiment might offer favorable buying opportunities in the future. It advised investors to wait until market conditions turn worse (when metrics turn deeply negative), allowing them to act intelligently and counter the common herd mentality in the crypto market.
Bitcoin Symmetrical Triangle Breakdown Targets $94,000
Bitcoin has dipped further over the past 48 hours, forming a symmetrical triangle on the 1-hour chart. With no bullish momentum expected this week, BTC could look toward liquidity zones formed around the $100,000 mark before testing lower levels between $94,100 and $92,600. In low-volume trading environments, BTC often moves between liquidity levels, reflecting trader positions. Currently, Bitcoin is trading in a neutral zone after consolidating sideways for a day. However, with a predominantly bearish outlook, Bitcoin could revisit the fair value gap at $99,500 over the next few hours before potentially dropping further in the coming days.
On the flip side, whale addresses have accumulated more than 30,000 BTC during the recent dip, which could lead to a short-term bounce. However, the bearish sentiment will be invalidated if Bitcoin manages to close above $100,000, which would swing the market in favor of bulls temporarily.
Conclusion:
Bitcoin is facing increased sell pressure due to the 49,700 BTC moved from dormant wallets, raising concerns about possible market volatility. While short-term market sentiment appears bearish, there are opportunities for investors to position themselves intelligently. A move above $100,000 could shift market momentum in favor of bullish sentiment, invalidating the current bearish outlook.
FAQs:
Will Bitcoin’s price drop below $94,000 soon?
If the bearish market sentiment continues and the price remains below the $100,000 level, Bitcoin could target lower levels such as $94,000 in the short term.
What is the significance of the 49,700 BTC move?
The movement of 49,700 BTC from wallets that had not been touched for 6-12 months could indicate that some large investors (whales) are preparing to sell, potentially adding downward pressure on the price.
Is it a good time to buy Bitcoin?
With Bitcoin sentiment currently bearish, some analysts suggest waiting for deeper market corrections to buy at lower levels. However, there is a chance for a short-term bounce if whale activity continues.
I am Toby Rothschild, Co-Founder of Spearmint and author at Coinography, and a strategist focused on advancing Web3 innovation, digital ecosystems, and the future of decentralized technology. I combine product thinking, creative leadership, and deep interest in emerging trends to help shape how individuals and organizations interact with the next generation of digital systems.
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